Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Genk	Draw	Lille
30.02% ( 0.04)	24.45% ( 0.02)	45.53% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

-0.06)

45.02% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

-0.06)

67.37% (

0.06)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.82% (

-0.01)

28.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.13% (

-0.01)

63.86% (

0.01)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.05)

19.89% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-0.08)

52.01% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Genk 30.02%

Lille 45.53%

Draw 24.45%

Genk	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.02%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.53%