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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lille

Monaco
1 - 0
Lille

Fofana (61')
Akliouche (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

David (54'), Bouaddi (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-2 Lille

Despite both sides winning three games on the trot, Wednesday's game is tricky to call. Monaco's form at Stade Louis II is questionable, while Lille's road results leave much to be desired. The home side's 11-game undefeated streak against the Mastiffs should become 12, with both sides possibly cancelling each other out in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLille
41.13% (-0.275 -0.27) 25.27% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 33.6% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.341 0.34)47.35% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.315 0.32)69.57% (-0.316 -0.32)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.64% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.36999999999999 0.37)27.02% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.483 0.48)62.37% (-0.485 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 41.13%
    Lille 33.6%
    Draw 25.27%
MonacoDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.6%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lille

Monaco
61.5%
Draw
25.0%
Lille
13.5%
104
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
2-0
Monaco
Cavaleiro (32'), Diakite (42')
Yazici (67')

Singo (48'), Zakaria (50')
May 14, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 35
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lille
4-3
Monaco
Alexsandro (22'), Cabella (39', 62'), Bamba (71')
Henrique (34'), Disasi (44'), Ben Yedder (53')
May 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
1-2
Monaco
Gomes (69')
Celik (39'), Fonte (51'), Andre (87'), Bamba (90')
Tchouameni (42', 75')
Ben Yedder (66')
Nov 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-2
Lille
Diatta (41'), Ben Yedder (83')
Pavlovic (3'), Fofana (84')
Pavlovic (78')
David (5' pen., 9')
Celik (7'), David (37'), Yazici (68'), Weah (73'), Niasse (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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