Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
45.44% ( -0.31) | 24.56% ( 0.19) | 29.99% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 57.14% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.46% ( -0.81) | 45.54% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.13% ( -0.78) | 67.86% ( 0.77) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.86% ( -0.46) | 20.14% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.58% ( -0.75) | 52.41% ( 0.74) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.55% ( -0.33) | 28.45% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.79% ( -0.41) | 64.21% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |