Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 45.44% ( | 24.56% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.46% ( | 45.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.13% ( | 67.86% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( | 20.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( | 52.41% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( | 28.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( | 64.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-2 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.99% |