Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
2 - 5
Monaco

Diallo (78'), Sane (84')

FT(HT: 0-6)

Minamino (4', 4'), Akliouche (10', 10'), Vanderson (16', 16'), Balogun (76', 87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Metz
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Monaco
31.67% ( -0.34)	25.61% ( 0.06)	42.72% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.59% (

-0.37)

49.41% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

-0.34)

71.45% (

0.33)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

-0.41)

29.26% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

-0.51)

65.22% (

0.51)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.02)

23.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

-0.04)

56.82% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Metz 31.67%

Monaco 42.72%

Draw 25.6%

Metz	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.67%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.72%