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Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2021 at 12pm UK
Stade Louis II
Metz logo

Monaco
4 - 0
Metz

Fabregas (50' pen.), Volland (52'), Ben Yedder (77', 89' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ndiaga Yade (36'), Caillard (48'), Kouyate (85'), Boye (85'), Centonze (90')
Boye (87')

Preview: Monaco vs. Metz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Monaco will hope to keep pace with the title-chasing pack in Ligue 1 when they welcome Metz to the Stade Louis II on Saturday lunchtime.

Niko Kovac's side thrashed Saint-Etienne 4-0 in their final game before the international break, while Metz were no match for Rennes as they lost 3-0 on March 20.


Match preview

Monaco manager Niko Kovac pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Not a week goes by where there is not some sort of twist or shock in the Ligue 1 title race - be it Monaco's defeat to Strasbourg or Paris Saint-Germain's loss to Nantes - and last time out, it was Lille's turn to lose ground as they fell to a shock home defeat to Nimes by two goals to one.

With Lyon also falling to defeat to PSG, Monaco took full advantage by teaching Saint-Etienne a footballing lesson on their own turf in a 4-0 triumph, as Krepin Diatta, Aurelien Tchouameni, Sofiane Diop and surprise starter Stevan Jovetic all made the net ripple at the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.

That drubbing was the perfect response from Kovac's side after taking just one point from a possible six against Lille and Strasbourg, but Les Monegasques were unable to rise any higher up the table and still occupy fourth spot in the rankings, although they are just one point behind Lyon and four adrift of top spot after 30 matches.

However, with 32 points taken from a possible 45 on familiar territory so far, Monaco boast the best home record in the entire division - level on points with Lille but ahead on goals scored - and another victory at the Stade Louis-II would see Les Monegasques rise to third before Lyon take on Lens several hours later.

Kovac's side have strung together a seven-game unbeaten run on home turf since losing to Lens back in December, and with their tally of 60 goals scored only being bettered by reigning champions PSG, European outsiders Metz have chosen the worst time to suffer a drop in form as they gear up for a return to Ligue 1 action.

Frederic Antonetti pictured in charge of Lille in April 2016© Reuters

Metz's inconsistency continues to hinder their aspirations of an unexpected venture in Europe, and Les Grenats became the latest victims of Bruno Genesio's resurgent Rennes as Les Rouge et Noir stormed to a 3-1 triumph at the Stade Saint-Symphorien just before the international break.

Jeremy Doku - who then saw red in the second half - Martin Terrier and Serhou Guirassy ensured that Metz's woeful form on home soil would continue as they slumped to a third straight defeat at the Stade Saint-Symphorien, and Papa Ndiaga Yade's late consolation did little to lighten the spirits of Frederic Antonetti's side on an afternoon where they were simply outplayed.

With Montpellier managing to take advantage of Metz's most recent defeat, Antonetti's side have slipped to ninth in the rankings and are now six points adrift of the top five, but with only one point taken from their last three outings, they will likely be consigned to a mid-table finish if this current plight continues.

Les Grenats have only managed to prevail in two of their last eight league outings, although both of those wins came on the road, and they have lost just two of their last 13 matches on unfamiliar territory, but a battle with the league's best home side will certainly put that record to the test in gameweek 31.

A Benoit Badiashile goal saw Monaco prevail 1-0 on Metz's turf during the opening weekend of the season, but Les Grenats had prevailed in their previous two meetings with Monaco before that defeat in August, including an impressive 3-0 triumph at home last season.

Monaco Ligue 1 form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

Monaco form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Metz Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L

Metz form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

AS Monaco's Guillermo Maripan celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 23, 2021© Reuters

Veteran midfielder Cesc Fabregas has had to wait patiently for a start in Kovac's team since the turn of the year, but he may finally be granted it this weekend as Tchouameni is suspended for an accumulation of bookings.

Goalscoring defender Guillermo Maripan - who has struck five times in the league this season - missed out against Saint-Etienne due to stomach problems but should be fine for this game, although Axel Disasi and Benoit Badiashile will not want to be broken up after their recent clean sheet.

Jovetic's name in the first XI raised a few eyebrows, and he missed a penalty before drawing first blood only a minute later in their 4-0 win over Les Verts, but 13-goal Wissam Ben Yedder will hope to link up with his regular strike partner Kevin Volland this weekend.

Metz goalkeeper Alexandre Oukidja will serve the fourth and final game of his ban this weekend, so Marc-Aurele Caillard will have one last opportunity to prove his worth in between the sticks.

Vincent Pajot lasted the full 90 minutes against Rennes but has since exacerbated an Achilles problem, with Victorien Angban therefore likely to earn a recall in the engine room.

Ibrahima Niane - still their top scorer this season with six goals - is progressing well after an ACL rupture and should return to training later this month, but Opa Nguette and Warren Tchimbembe remain out.

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Lecomte; Sidibe, Maripan, Badiashile, Henrique; Golovin, Fofana, Fabregas, Diop; Ben Yedder, Volland

Metz possible starting lineup:
Caillard; Bronn, Boye, Kouyate; Centonze, Maiga, Angban, Delaine; Boulaya; Yade, Leya Iseka


SM words green background

We say: Monaco 3-1 Metz

Monaco's stellar home form coupled with Metz's away day specialities should, on paper, lead to a fascinating battle, but we can only see one winner here. The hosts have not given up on their title aspirations and can frighten any team with their attacking prowess, so we are backing a comprehensive victory for Kovac's side on their own turf.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:441337:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12611:
Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Monaco vs Metz

Monaco
96.3%
Draw
3.7%
Metz
0.0%
27
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Monaco's Benoit Badiashile pictured on August 23, 2020
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1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Lens156631914524
7Nice146532617923
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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