Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26

Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Auguste-Delaune II

Reims
2 - 1
Metz

Diakite (3'), Ito (79')
Ito (21'), Abdelhamid (51'), Munetsi (73'), Diakite (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Atta (14')
Herelle (20'), Sabaly (42'), Oukidja (82'), Sane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 2-2 Reims
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 1-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.

Result
Reims	Draw	Metz
53.23% ( 0.37)	24.45% ( -0.23)	22.32% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.06% (

0.75)

50.94% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.19% (

0.66)

72.81% (

-0.66)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

0.44)

19.08% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3% (

0.72)

50.7% (

-0.71)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

0.29)

37.54% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

0.28)

74.32% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Reims 53.22%

Metz 22.32%

Draw 24.44%

Reims	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.22%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.32%