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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Clermont Foot

Metz
1 - 0
Clermont

Mikautadze (33' pen.)
Jean Jacques (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsima (45'), Borges (54'), Carpini (60'), Gastien (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
MetzDrawClermont
46.69% (-0.762 -0.76)26.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.58% (0.742 0.74)
Both teams to score 48.1% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (0.375 0.38)56.25% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.303 0.3)77.29% (-0.298 -0.3)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.193 -0.19)24.08% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)58.36% (0.285 0.28)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.838 0.84)36.65% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.831 0.83)73.44% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Metz 46.69%
    Clermont 26.58%
    Draw 26.73%
MetzDrawClermont
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Metz vs Clermont

Metz
47.8%
Draw
34.8%
Clermont
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 64
Metz
1-1
Clermont
Clermont win 3-1 on penalties
Sane (22')
Allevinah (48')
Aug 27, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Clermont
0-1
Metz

Cham (58')
Mikautadze (69')
Sabaly (83')
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
1-1
Clermont
De Preville (24')
Bronn (72')
Niane (40')
Dossou (37')
Ogier (84')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 4
Clermont
2-2
Metz
Niakate (35' og.), Rashani (58')
Ogier (40')
Niane (10' pen.), Desmas (29' og.)
Sarr (30'), Alakouch (90+1')
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
1-2
Clermont
Maiga (58')
Cohade (45')
Aye (23'), Honorat (77')
Gastien (42'), N'Diaye (60')