Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.