Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
| 33.49% ( | 24.57% | 41.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( | 44.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( | 66.56% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( | 25.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( | 60.43% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( | 21.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% ( | 53.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.94% |