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Coupe de France | Semi-Finals
Apr 3, 2024 at 8.10pm UK
Parc des Princes
Rennes

PSG
1 - 0
Rennes

Mbappe (40')
Dembele (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seidu (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Rennes

PSG are showing no signs of faltering domestically as they tumble towards the Ligue 1 title, and we are expecting Les Parisiens to advance into the final of Coupe de France on Wednesday. Rennes are the side hoping to topple the competition favourites, but we cannot envisage anything other than a success for Enrique's team in the French capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawRennes
55.49% (-1 -1) 22.68% (0.453 0.45) 21.84% (0.553 0.55)
Both teams to score 55.52% (-0.722 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (-1.336 -1.34)44.02% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6% (-1.313 -1.31)66.41% (1.319 1.32)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.79299999999999 -0.79)15.73% (0.797 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (-1.49 -1.49)44.82% (1.496 1.5)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (-0.232 -0.23)34.12% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (-0.253 -0.25)70.81% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 55.49%
    Rennes 21.84%
    Draw 22.68%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawRennes
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.305 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 55.49%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 5.77% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Rennes

Paris Saint-Germain
86.0%
Draw
8.0%
Rennes
6.0%
100
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 23
PSG
1-1
Rennes
Ramos (90+7' pen.)
Hakimi (54'), Hernandez (70'), Ramos (87'), Ruiz (89'), Beraldo (90+4')
Gouiri (33')
Doue (48'), Blas (90+2'), Mandanda (90+6')
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Rennes
1-3
PSG
Gouiri (56')
Omari (42')
Vitinha (32'), Hakimi (36'), Kolo (58')
Mar 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 28
PSG
0-2
Rennes
Toko Ekambi (45'), Kalimuendo (48')
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rennes
1-0
PSG
Traore (65')
Feb 11, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 24
PSG
1-0
Rennes
Mbappe (90+2')
Mbappe (41'), Verratti (89')

Alemdar (90')
rhs 2.0
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