Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.