/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
-
Corentin Tolisso
18'
-
Said Benrahma
57'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
59'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
70'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
79'
-
Nicolas Tagliafico
86'
-
Jake O'Brien
87'
-
Nemanja Matic
90'+10'
-
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
90'+16'
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Lilian Brassier
17'
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Pierre Lees-Melou
45'+2'
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Steve Mounie
59'
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Romain Del Castillo
64'
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Romain Del Castillo
67'
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Pierre Lees-Melou
86'
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Bradley Locko
87'
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Marco Bizot
90'+11'
Lyon vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Flyon.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Lyon
41.92%
▼
(-1.32)
Draw
25.49%
▼
(-0.15)
Brest
32.59%
▲
(+1.47)
Both Teams to Score:
55.22%
▲
(+1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.43%
▲
(+1.12)
Under 2.5
48.57%
▼
(-1.12)
Over 3.5
29.31%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 3.5
70.69%
▼
(-1.01)
Over 4.5
14.19%
▲
(+0.69)
Under 4.5
85.8%
▼
(-0.69)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
76.96%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
23.04%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
43.14%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
56.85%
▲
(+0.23)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
71.75%
▲
(+1.52)
Under 0.5
28.25%
▼
(-1.52)
Over 1.5
36.05%
▲
(+1.89)
Under 1.5
63.95%
▼
(-1.89)
Score analysis
Lyon
41.92%
Draw
25.48%
Brest
32.59%
Lyon
1-0
@
9.55%
▼
(-0.49)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.40)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.60)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.92%
2-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.40)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.60)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.92%
Draw
1-1
@
12.07%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.48%
0-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.48%
Brest
0-1
@
8.23%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-89.29)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.59%
1-2 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.26)
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-89.29)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.59%