Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
4 - 3
Brest

Tolisso (18'), Lacazette (70'), Tagliafico (79'), Maitland-Niles (90+16' pen.)
Benrahma (57'), Tagliafico (59'), O'Brien (87'), Matic (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mounie (59'), Del Castillo (64', 67')
Brassier (17'), Lees-Melou (45+2'), Locko (87'), Bizot (90+11')
Lees-Melou (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 7 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 4-3 Metz
Sunday, April 7 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Brest
41.92% ( -1.32)	25.49% ( -0.14)	32.59% ( 1.46)

Both teams to score 55.22% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43% (

1.12)

48.57% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.31% (

1.01)

70.69% (

-1.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.16)

23.04% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

-0.23)

56.85% (

0.23)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

1.52)

28.25% (

-1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.05% (

1.88)

63.95% (

-1.88)

Score Analysis

Lyon 41.92%

Brest 32.59%

Draw 25.48%

Lyon	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.92%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.59%