Ligue 1
Gameweek
28
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flyolog.png)
-
Matthis Abline
16'
-
Eray Comert
18'
-
Antoine Kombouare
19'
-
Mostafa Mohamed
74'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
53'
-
Ernest Nuamah
71'
-
Alexandre Lacazette
75'
-
Malick Fofana
77'
-
Gift Orban
90'+7'
Nantes vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F07%2Fantoine-kombouare.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result
Nantes
17.57%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
22.22%
▼
(-0.27)
Lyon
60.22%
▲
(+0.39)
Both Teams to Score:
49.93%
▲
(+0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.05%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 2.5
47.95%
▼
(-0.91)
Over 3.5
29.88%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 3.5
70.13%
▼
(-0.83)
Over 4.5
14.59%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 4.5
85.42%
▼
(-0.57)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5
59.09%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 0.5
40.92%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 1.5
22.52%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
77.48%
▼
(-0.36)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5
84.5%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 0.5
15.5%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 1.5
55.61%
▲
(+0.81)
Under 1.5
44.4%
▼
(-0.81)
Score analysis
Nantes
17.57%
Draw
22.21%
Lyon
60.22%
Nantes
1-0
@
5.67%
▼
(-0.16)
2-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 17.57%
2-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 17.57%
Draw
1-1
@
10.56%
▼
(-0.12)
0-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.21%
0-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.21%
Lyon
0-1
@
11.82%
▼
(-0.27)
0-2 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.12)
0-4 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 60.22%
0-2 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 6.85% ▲ (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.12)
0-4 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.06)
0-5 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 60.22%
