Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Apr 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
1 - 3
Lyon

Abline (16')
Comert (18'), Kombouare (19'), Mohamed (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lacazette (75'), Fofana (77'), Orban (90+7')
Lacazette (53'), Nuamah (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-2 Nantes
Sunday, March 31 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Valenciennes
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lyon
17.57% ( -0.12)	22.22% ( -0.26)	60.22% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05% (

0.91)

47.95% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.88% (

0.83)

70.13% (

-0.83)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09% (

0.4)

40.92% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52% (

0.36)

77.48% (

-0.35)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.5% (

0.44)

15.5% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.61% (

0.81)

44.4% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Nantes 17.57%

Lyon 60.22%

Draw 22.21%

Nantes	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.57%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 60.22%