Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
| 19.92% ( | 22.87% ( | 57.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 52% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( | 47.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% ( | 69.51% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( | 37.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% | 74.65% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% ( | 16.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.16% ( | 45.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 2-1 @ 5.27% 2-0 @ 2.91% ( 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.55% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.92% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 11.19% 0-2 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-3 @ 6.15% ( 1-3 @ 5.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% 0-4 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.2% |