Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.