Guingamp
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Roudourou

Guingamp
3 - 0
Valenciennes

Lemonnier (7'), Merghem (22'), El Ouazzani (64')
Merghem (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sabanovic (78')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Guingamp and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guingamp

All competitions
Last Game: Concarneau 2-3 Guingamp
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Valenciennes

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 0-0 Angers
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.

Result
GuingampDrawValenciennes
50.62% (-0.012 -0.01)27.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)22.13% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)61.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)81.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Guingamp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)24.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)58.8% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.46% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)43.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (0.004999999999999 0)79.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Guingamp 50.62%
    Valenciennes 22.13%
    Draw 27.23%
GuingampDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 14.98%
2-0 @ 10.57%
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.02%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.13%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Valenciennes
0-0
Guingamp
Buatu Mananga (28'), Linguet (35'), Boutoutaou (36'), Woudenberg (79')
Sivis (31'), Courtet (79')
Feb 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 23
Guingamp
3-1
Valenciennes
Gomis (41'), Guillaume (60'), El Ouazzani (90')
Debuchy (66')
Oct 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Valenciennes
1-0
Guingamp
Cuffaut (36')
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Valenciennes
1-1
Guingamp
Ntim (22')
Debuchy (73')
Pierrot (75' pen.)
Lemonnier (26'), Sivis (70'), Pierrot (75')
Jul 31, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 2
Guingamp
1-1
Valenciennes
Sampaio (90')
Diarra (4'), M'Changama (60'), Muyumba (63'), Sampaio (79')
Robail (76')
Masson (10'), D'Almeida (24')