Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Concarneau
1 - 0
Valenciennes

Ibnou Ba (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Concarneau and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Concarneau

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Valenciennes

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Valenciennes 3-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Concarneau in this match.

Result
ConcarneauDrawValenciennes
41.23% (0.107 0.11)27.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)31.58% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (0.118 0.12)55.79% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (0.096999999999998 0.1)76.92% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.11199999999999 0.11)26.63% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.149 0.15)61.87% (-0.152 -0.15)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)32.56% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)69.09% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Concarneau 41.23%
    Valenciennes 31.58%
    Draw 27.18%
ConcarneauDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 41.23%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.58%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Valenciennes
0-1
Concarneau

Jung (26'), Jorge Maciel Pereira Nascimento (27'), Moore (29'), Banse (51')
Etuin (31' pen.)
Etuin (59'), Celestine (61'), Salles (70'), Bares (79')