Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Concarneau in this match.