Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.