Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1

Pau
3 - 1
Valenciennes

Sylla (45+3' pen., 90'), Bassouamina (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Venema (48')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Valenciennes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 1-1 Dunkerque
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Valenciennes

All competitions
Last Game: Valenciennes 0-0 Annecy
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.

Result
PauDrawValenciennes
38.09% (0.059000000000005 0.06)28.39% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)33.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 46.46% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.19% (0.037999999999997 0.04)59.81% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)80.09% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.055000000000007 0.06)30.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.46% (0.064 0.06)66.54% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (-0.012 -0.01)33.29% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)69.9% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pau 38.09%
    Valenciennes 33.52%
    Draw 28.38%
PauDrawValenciennes
1-0 @ 12.04%
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.52%

How you voted: Pau vs Valenciennes

Pau
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Valenciennes
0.0%
10
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 35
Valenciennes
1-1
Pau
Grbic (66')
Masson (55'), Grbic (68')
George (79')
D'Almeida (20'), Bassouamina (74'), Kouassi (76')
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Pau
1-0
Valenciennes
Bassouamina (72')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Valenciennes
1-0
Pau
Ayite (66')
Bonnet (71'), Masson (71'), Linguet (75')

Dembele (28')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Pau
1-1
Valenciennes
Assifuah (14')
Van Boto (40'), Armand (59'), Assifuah (65'), Beusnard (79')
Yatabare (24')
Doukoure (51'), Cuffaut (68')
May 15, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 38
Pau
4-3
Valenciennes
Itaitinga (3'), Lobry (12'), George (16'), Assifuah (50')
Diarra (59'), Kouassi (71'), George (72')
Vandenabeele (56'), Dos Santos (62'), Z (84')
Pellenard (30'), Dos Santos (64'), Chergui (72')