Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Pau had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.