Ligue 2 | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Guy Piriou
AC Ajaccio

Concarneau
2 - 1
Ajaccio

Ibnou Ba (76', 84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bammou (68' pen.)
Barreto (78')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Concarneau and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Concarneau

All competitions
Last Game: Troyes 0-0 Concarneau
Saturday, October 21 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-0 Pau
Saturday, October 21 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concarneau would win this match.

Result
ConcarneauDrawAjaccio
46.39% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 48.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57%56.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56%77.44%
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)58.68% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Concarneau 46.38%
    Ajaccio 26.8%
    Draw 26.8%
ConcarneauDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.38%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 26.8%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!