Ligue 2 | Gameweek 10
Oct 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Guy Piriou

Concarneau
4 - 3
Dunkerque

Chadli (8', 78'), Ibnou Ba (63', 90+4')
Le Mignan (37'), Celestine (45+1'), Phliponeau (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Anziani (23'), Orelien (41' pen.), Ba-Sy (66')
Thiam (36'), Youssouf (45+1'), Boissier (68'), Anziani (90+1')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Concarneau and Dunkerque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Concarneau

All competitions
Last Game: Angers 2-0 Concarneau
Saturday, September 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Dunkerque

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Dunkerque
Wednesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concarneau would win this match.

Result
ConcarneauDrawDunkerque
39.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)32.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)78.88% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Concarneau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)33.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.03% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Concarneau 39.93%
    Dunkerque 32.18%
    Draw 27.88%
ConcarneauDrawDunkerque
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 39.93%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.18%