Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stade Pierre Pibarot

Ales
1 - 2
Paris FC

Mahamat (90+6' pen.)
Diaby (51'), Dabo (54'), Cros (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jabbari (2'), Kebbal (77')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Round of 64 clash between Olympique d'Ales and Paris FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympique d'Ales

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Last Game: Ales 1-2 Montpellier
Saturday, March 6 at 1.15pm in Coupe de France
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Paris FC

All competitions
Last Game: Paris FC 2-2 Quevilly
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 81.6%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Olympique d'Ales had a probability of 6.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.58%) and 0-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Olympique d'Ales win it was 1-0 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.

Result
Olympique d'AlesDrawParis FC
6.12% (-0.028099999999999 -0.03)12.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)81.6% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.95% (-0.182 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.81% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)33.18% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.06% (-0.15 -0.15)54.93% (0.15 0.15)
Olympique d'Ales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.89% (-0.184 -0.18)52.1% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.92% (-0.118 -0.12)86.07% (0.119 0.12)
Paris FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.85% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)6.14% (0.021 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.71% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)23.29% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Olympique d'Ales 6.12%
    Paris FC 81.59%
    Draw 12.27%
Olympique d'AlesDrawParis FC
1-0 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 6.12%
1-1 @ 5.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 12.27%
0-2 @ 12.45% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-4 @ 8.08% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 5.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-5 @ 2.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-6 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.96% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 81.59%

rhs 2.0


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