Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concarneau would win this match.

Result
Concarneau	Draw	Troyes
45.33% ( 0.01)	24.27% ( -0.02)	30.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.36% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.96% (

0.12)

44.04% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

0.12)

66.42% (

-0.12)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

0.05)

19.58% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.5% (

0.09)

51.5% (

-0.09)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

0.07)

27.43% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

0.09)

62.92% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Concarneau 45.33%

Troyes 30.39%

Draw 24.27%

Concarneau	Draw	Troyes
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 45.33%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.27%	1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 30.39%