Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.