AC Ajaccio
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 14
Nov 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Troyes

Ajaccio
1 - 0
Troyes

Touzghar (22')
Chanot (17'), Bammou (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndiaye (68')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Troyes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grenoble 0-3 Ajaccio
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Troyes 2-1 Caen
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawTroyes
45.72% (-0.18 -0.18)26.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)27.34% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.39% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)56.62% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)77.59% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.116 -0.12)24.71% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.163 -0.16)59.26% (0.164 0.16)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (0.082000000000001 0.08)36.21% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.082000000000001 0.08)73% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 45.72%
    Troyes 27.34%
    Draw 26.94%
AjaccioDrawTroyes
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.72%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 25
Ajaccio
2-1
Troyes
Belaili (62' pen.), El Idrissy (68')
Balde (23')
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Troyes
1-1
Ajaccio
Porozo (76')
Feb 27, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 27
Troyes
1-0
Ajaccio
Touzghar (90+3')

Coutadeur (66'), Kalulu (90')
Oct 31, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
0-4
Troyes

Keita (89')
Saint-Louis (22'), Touzghar (49'), Baya (63'), Domingues (84')
Domingues (90+3')
May 8, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 37
Ajaccio
P-P
Troyes