Ligue 2 | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade du Hainaut

Valenciennes
3 - 1
Bastia

Jung (27' pen., 53'), Knockaert (61')
Knockaert (20'), Kantari (21'), Jung (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Okou (8')
Bohnert (34'), Keita (57'), Alfarela (68')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Valenciennes and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valenciennes

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Bordeaux 3-1 Valenciennes
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 1-2 Caen
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.

Result
ValenciennesDrawBastia
37.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)34.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.74% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)59.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Valenciennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.36% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)66.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.14% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Valenciennes 37.62%
    Bastia 34.12%
    Draw 28.25%
ValenciennesDrawBastia
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.62%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 7.41%
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.77%
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.12%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Bastia
3-0
Valenciennes
Lienard (40'), Santelli (77'), Vincent (90+5')

Masson (51'), Linguet (82')
Mar 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Valenciennes
2-2
Bastia
Grbic (25', 48')
Magri (4', 69')
Dec 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 17
Bastia
1-0
Valenciennes
Drame (78')
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 27
Bastia
1-1
Valenciennes
Abeid (20' og.)
Sainati (16'), Magri (64'), Robic (87'), Guidi (89')
Bonnet (11')
Abeid (59'), Chevalier (87'), Bonnet (89')
Sep 21, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Valenciennes
2-1
Bastia
Cuffaut (7' pen.), Robail (66')
Ntim (16'), Lecoeuche (62'), Kaba (88')
Santelli (43')
Palun (6'), Robic (57')