Ligue 2 | Gameweek 17
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut

Dunkerque
0 - 5
Bastia


Bilingi (35'), Laaziri (59'), Sangante (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Okou (2'), Alfarela (13', 68', 90+2'), Tomi (89' pen.)
Brouard (36'), Bohnert (45+2')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Bastia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Last Game: Pau 1-1 Dunkerque
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 1-0 Bastia
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Dunkerque had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Dunkerque win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.

Result
DunkerqueDrawBastia
32.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.3% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)39.79% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (0.009999999999998 0.01)55.89% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (0.010999999999996 0.01)31.68% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.012999999999998 0.01)68.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04%62.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 32.92%
    Bastia 39.78%
    Draw 27.29%
DunkerqueDrawBastia
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 39.78%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Bastia
1-0
Dunkerque
Talal (21')
Guidi (14'), Palun (58'), Roncaglia (90+2'), Santelli (90+3')

Ba (2')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 11
Dunkerque
2-0
Bastia
Tchokounte (58', 86')
Tchokounte (33')

Quemper (21')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient34225768313771
2Paris FCParis FC34216755332269
3Metz341811564343065
4DunkerqueDunkerque34175124740756
5GuingampGuingamp341741357451255
6Annecy34149114243-151
7Laval34148124438650
8Bastia34111584337648
9Grenoble34137144344-146
10Troyes34135163634244
11AmiensAmiens34134173850-1243
12Ajaccio34126163042-1242
13PauPau341012123953-1442
14Rodez AFRodez AF34912135654239
15Red Star34911143751-1438
16Clermont34712153046-1633
17Martigues3495202956-2732
18Caen3457223158-2722
> Ligue 2 Full Table


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