Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.