Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Caen

Bastia
1 - 2
Caen

Santelli (33' pen.)
Charbonnier (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mbock (60'), Mendy (83' pen.)
Mbock (23'), Thomas (55'), Gaucho Debohi (62'), Le Bihan (90+1')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Bastia 2-0 Angers
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 36.02%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Bastia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawCaen
35.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)28.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.02% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 47.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.75% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73%79.28% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)67.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.1% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.43% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 35.84%
    Caen 36.01%
    Draw 28.13%
BastiaDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3%
Total : 35.84%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 11.33%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.01%

How you voted: Bastia vs Caen

Bastia
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
Caen
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Caen
1-0
Bastia
Mendy (88')
Gaucho Debohi (77'), Brahimi (89')

Keita (33'), Janneh (67'), Djoco (74'), Tavares (90+3')
Feb 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Caen
3-1
Bastia
Saletros (50'), Mendy (69' pen., 82')
Bai (88')
Dec 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
Bastia
1-0
Caen
Bai (90+1')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Caen
2-1
Bastia
Da Costa (27', 53')
Lepenant (65')
Salles-Lamonge (15')
Santelli (7'), Palun (41'), Le Cardinal (75'), Vincent (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Bastia
1-1
Caen
Santelli (13')
Bocognano (79'), Quemper (89')
Mendy (90+1' pen.)
Wadja (71')