Ligue 2 Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Francois Coty
  • Christopher Ibayi 42' goal
  • Mathieu Michel 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julien Celestine 74'

Ajaccio vs Concarneau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Dunkerque 2 - 0 Ajaccio
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Christopher Ibayi

Concarneau

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Concarneau 1 - 0 Troyes
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Pape Ibnou Ba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result

Ajaccio 45.6% (+0.03)
Draw 27.76% (+0.01)
Concarneau 26.63% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.3% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.13% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.86% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 19.86% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 80.13% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 8.26% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.74% (+0.01)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5 73.76% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 26.23%
Over 1.5 38.66% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 61.34% (-0.01)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5 61.41% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.59% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 24.66% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 75.33% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Ajaccio 45.6%
Draw 27.75%
Concarneau 26.63%
Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.54% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 10.12% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.75%
Concarneau
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 26.63%

Head to Head

Ligue 2 Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Guy Piriou
  • Pape Ibnou Ba 76' goal
  • Pape Ibnou Ba 84' goal
  • goal Yacine Bammou 68'
  • yellowcard Mickael Barreto 78'