Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 45.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Concarneau had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Concarneau win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Concarneau
45.6% ( 0.02)	27.76% ( 0.01)	26.63% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13% (

-0.03)

59.86% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86% (

-0.02)

80.13% (

0.02)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0)

26.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0)

61.34% (

-0)

Concarneau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41% (

-0.04)

38.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.66% (

-0.04)

75.33% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 45.6%

Concarneau 26.63%

Draw 27.75%

Ajaccio	Draw	Concarneau
1-0 @ 13.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2% Total : 45.6%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.63%