AJ Auxerre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
AC Ajaccio

Auxerre
2 - 0
Ajaccio

Hein (18', 29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chanot (23'), Mangani (45+1')
Chanot (45+2')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concarneau 1-2 Auxerre
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 2-0 Laval
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
56.67% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)24.15% (0.015999999999998 0.02)19.17% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.99% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)53.36% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.038 -0.04)74.9% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)18.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)50.03% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)42.21% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)78.62% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 56.66%
    Ajaccio 19.17%
    Draw 24.15%
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.17%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 30
Ajaccio
0-3
Auxerre
Toure (3'), Da Costa (6'), Alphonse (45+2' og.)
Oct 30, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 13
Auxerre
1-0
Ajaccio
Sakhi (8')
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 21
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre
Vidal (48'), Marchetti (60')
Marchetti (70')
Joly (30'), Leon (35'), Jubal (72')
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 3
Auxerre
0-0
Ajaccio
Toure (60'), Sinayoko (68'), Hein (90+7')
Youssouf (40'), Botue (78'), Gonzalez (83'), Courtet (90')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre
Bayala (50'), Youssouf (90+5')
Lloris (6')
Lloris (84')