Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Strasbourg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 33.8% ( | 26.09% ( | 40.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( | 50.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( | 72.76% ( |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( | 64.4% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.02% ( | 24.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.37% ( | 59.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.1% |