/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fmetlog.png)
-
Brendan Chardonnet
12'
-
Kamory Doumbia
31'
-
Steve Mounie
38'
-
Martin Satriano
60'
-
Ismael Traore
6'
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Matthieu Udol
62'
-
Georges Mikautadze
74'
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Georges Mikautadze
80'
Brest vs Metz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fbrest.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result
Brest
52.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Draw
25.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Metz
22.13%
▲
(+0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
48.07%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.91%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
54.08%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
24.49%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
75.51%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
11.03%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
88.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5
79.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
20.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
46.94%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
53.05%
▲
(+0.11)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5
60.5%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
39.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
23.81%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
76.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Brest
52.65%
Draw
25.2%
Metz
22.13%
Brest
1-0
@
12.84%
2-0 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.65%
2-0 @ 10.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.65%
Draw
1-1
@
11.92%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.2%
Metz
0-1
@
7.54%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 22.13%
