Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 26.55% ( | 24.86% ( | 48.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% ( | 48.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% ( | 71.03% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( | 32.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( | 69.3% ( |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( | 20.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.53% ( | 52.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 3-0 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0-2 @ 8.46% ( 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0-3 @ 4.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.58% |