Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 0
Strasbourg

David (12')
Alexsandro (23'), Fonseca (24'), Santos (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sow (44'), Diarra (59'), Sylla (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Reims
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
60.59% ( 0)	21.74%	17.67% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.21% (

45.79% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.89% (

68.11%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.34% (

14.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.2% (

0.01)

42.8% (

-0)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.48%

39.51% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.79%

76.2% (

Score Analysis

Lille 60.58%

Strasbourg 17.67%

Draw 21.74%

Lille	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 11.12% 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.35% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.26% 5-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.57% Total : 60.58%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.74%	0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.67%