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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Strasbourg

Lille
1 - 0
Strasbourg

David (12')
Alexsandro (23'), Fonseca (24'), Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sow (44'), Diarra (59'), Sylla (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Reims
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg

Lille will look to put European disappointment behind them on Sunday, and three points that would edge them closer to the Champions League would be the perfect way to do that. Strasbourg are in good form as of late, which should lead to a competitive match, but the hosts should ultimately have too much quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
60.59% (0.0049999999999955 0) 21.74%17.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.11%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48%39.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79%76.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 60.58%
    Strasbourg 17.67%
    Draw 21.74%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.35%
4-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 60.58%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.67%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Strasbourg
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Strasbourg
2-1
Lille
Yoro (41' og.), Mwanga (76')
Sylla (45')
Sylla (20' og.)
Andre (32'), Zhegrova (62')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
2-0
Strasbourg
David (23' pen., 28')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
Sep 25, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Strasbourg
1-2
Lille
Sissoko (75')
Diallo (19'), Djiku (38'), Le Marchand (38'), Ajorque (83'), Stephan (88')
Thomasson (79')
David (23', 57')
Grbic (70'), Djalo (78'), Xeka (81'), Mandava (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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