Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Genk had a probability of 10.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 3-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Genk win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.