Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Genk
51.55% ( -0.03)	23% ( 0.01)	25.46% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.86% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37% (

-0.04)

41.63% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

-0.03)

64.03% (

0.04)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

-0.02)

16.24% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24% (

-0.04)

45.76% (

0.05)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

-0)

29.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

-0.01)

65.79% (

Score Analysis

Union SG 51.55%

Genk 25.46%

Draw 22.99%

Union SG	Draw	Genk
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.55%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 25.46%