Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Genk had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.