Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genk in this match.