Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Genk had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.