Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 63.88%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.