Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.