Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Westerlo

Charleroi
3 - 2
Westerlo

Heymans (59'), Dabbagh (66'), Sylla (90+6')
Rogelj (11'), Bernier (45+3'), Andreou (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madsen (24'), Yow (90+1')
Bayram (28'), Daci (90+3')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Westerlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 1-0 Charleroi
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Westerlo

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 3-3 Sint-Truiden
Friday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
CharleroiDrawWesterlo
46.75% (0.046999999999997 0.05)24.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)29.14% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.16% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.056999999999995 0.06)43.95% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (0.055 0.05)66.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)18.95% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52% (0.07 0.07)50.47% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.94% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 46.75%
    Westerlo 29.14%
    Draw 24.1%
CharleroiDrawWesterlo
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.9% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 31
Westerlo
2-3
Charleroi
Fixelles (8'), Dierckx (89' pen.)
Issouf Bayo (35'), Heymans (39'), Badji (90+2')
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Charleroi
2-3
Westerlo
Mbenza (36'), Badji (88')
Reynolds (3'), De Cuyper (10'), Vaesen (89')
May 15, 2019 7.30pm
Europa League Playoffs
Westerlo
0-2
Charleroi

Gboho (45'), Corstjens (79'), van den Bogaert (95')
Morioka (42'), Perbet (89')
Bruno (61'), Busi (65')
Apr 14, 2019 7pm
Europa League Playoffs
Charleroi
2-0
Westerlo
Niane (67'), Osimhen (90')

Dewaele (2'), Buyl (21')
Buyl (42')