Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Westerlo win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.