Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.