KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 14
Nov 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
1 - 0
Charleroi

Hairemans (49' pen.)
Walsh (36'), Bafdili (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dabbagh (11')
Marcq (47')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 1-1 Mechelen
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 1-3 Gent
Sunday, November 5 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
MechelenDrawCharleroi
37.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.02%38.13% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)40.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (0.009999999999998 0.01)63.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.85% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.012 0.01)21.56% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)54.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 37.86%
    Charleroi 38.13%
    Draw 24.01%
MechelenDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 37.86%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.18%
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38.13%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Mechelen
2-2
Charleroi
Storm (5'), Hairemans (27')
Zorgane (66', 67')
Nov 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Charleroi
0-0
Mechelen
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Charleroi
3-2
Mechelen
Nkuba (34'), Issouf Bayo (53', 71')
Heymans (79')
Engvall (21', 74')
Apr 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Mechelen
1-0
Charleroi
Vanlerberghe (50')
Souza (37'), Vanlerberghe (42')

Gholizadeh (40'), Ozornwafor (42'), Zorgane (47')
Mar 12, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Mechelen
2-2
Charleroi
Hairemans (5'), Cuypers (13')
Souza (41'), Schoofs (73')
Andreou (50'), Issouf Bayo (73' pen.)
Zorgane (57'), Andreou (59'), Morioka (85'), Tchatchoua (90+2')