KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
OH Leuven

Mechelen
1 - 2
Leuven

Pflucke (46')
Vanlerberghe (6'), Walsh (13'), Lauberbach (49'), Storm (90+6'), Konate (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dagur Thorsteinsson (2'), Maziz (45+7')
Schrijvers (57'), Maziz (72'), Mendyl (73')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 2-0 Mechelen
Sunday, September 17 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Leuven 1-1 Gent
Sunday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MechelenDrawLeuven
43.03% (-0.121 -0.12)24.33% (0.071000000000002 0.07)32.64% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.24% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.32 -0.32)43.34% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.315 -0.31)65.73% (0.312 0.31)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-0.188 -0.19)20.29% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.34% (-0.299 -0.3)52.65% (0.294 0.29)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.125 -0.13)25.67% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.169 -0.17)60.57% (0.165 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 43.03%
    Leuven 32.64%
    Draw 24.32%
MechelenDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.63% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.64%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Leuven
4-1
Mechelen
De Norre (4'), Opoku (39'), Maertens (56'), Al Tamari (60')
Hairemans (89')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 9
Mechelen
0-0
Leuven
Jan 15, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Leuven
P-P
Mechelen
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Mechelen
2-0
Leuven
Storm (8'), Mrabti (44')
Bateau (38'), Cuypers (51'), Van Damme (84'), Bijker (86'), Vanlerberghe (87')

De Sart (2'), Ngawa (18'), Mercier (27'), Schrijvers (87'), Ouedraogo (87')
Chakla (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Mechelen
2-2
Leuven
Vranckx (30'), Druijf (80' pen.)
Defour (28'), Schoofs (53'), Bijker (90+5')
De Norre (40'), Schrijvers (70')
De Norre (36')