KV Mechelen
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 12
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne

Mechelen
0 - 2
Cercle Brugge


Pflucke (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Denkey (54', 54'), Olaigbe (73')
Denkey (52'), Siquet (59'), Van der Bruggen (70')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Mechelen and Cercle Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genk 4-0 Mechelen
Sunday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Gent
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.

Result
MechelenDrawCercle Brugge
32.31% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)23.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)44.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.86% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (0.011000000000003 0.01)39.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (0.012 0.01)62.21% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.52% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)18.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.54% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mechelen 32.31%
    Cercle Brugge 44.13%
    Draw 23.56%
MechelenDrawCercle Brugge
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 32.31%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.6%
1-4 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 44.13%

Head to Head
Dec 23, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Mechelen
1-1
Cercle Brugge
Storm (71')
Denkey (3')
Aug 13, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Cercle Brugge
0-0
Mechelen
Somers (90+5')
Hairemans (12'), Bolingoli-Mbombo (34'), Hernandez (89')
Feb 26, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Mechelen
2-2
Cercle Brugge
Cuypers (31'), Souza (37')
Souza (45+2'), van Drongelen (87')
Souza (76')
Miangue (43'), Denkey (45')
Miangue (45+2'), Van der Bruggen (49'), Didillon (83')
Van der Bruggen (69')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Cercle Brugge
3-1
Mechelen
Utkus (34'), Hotic (63' pen.), Matondo (77')
Lopes (64')
Storm (43')
Bijker (60'), Souza (82')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Cercle Brugge
0-1
Mechelen

Somers (73'), Van der Bruggen (77')
De Camargo (87')
Druijf (85')