Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 51.9%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.